Journal : Acta Geophysica
Article : Climatological drivers of changes in flood hazard in Germany

Authors :
Vitkulin, A. V.
Institute of Volcanology and Seismology, Far East Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences, Petropavlovsk-Kamchatski, Russia, vik@kscnet.ru,
Semenov, V. Y.
Institute of Geophysics, Polish Academy of Sciences, Warszawa, Poland, sem@igf.edu.pl,
Majewski, E.
Institute of Geophysics, Polish Academy of Sciences, Warszawa, Poland, emaj@igf.edu.pl,
Nenovski, P.
National Institute for Geophysics, Geodesy and Geography, Sofia, Bulgaria, nenovski@geophys.bas.bg,
Sayil, N.
Karadeniz Technical University, Engineering Faculty, Department of Geophysics, Trabzon, Turkey, sayil@ktu.edu.tr,
Nguyen, N. T.
Institute of Marine Geology and Geophysics, Vietnam Academy of Science and Technology, Hanoi, Vietnam, nguyen_nhutrung@hotmail.com,
Neska, A.
Institute of Geophysics, Polish Academy of Sciences, Warszawa, Poland, anne@igf.edu.pl,
Tokarczyk, T.
Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, National Research Institute, Wrocław Branch, Wrocław, Poland, Tamara.Tokarczyk@imgw.pl,
Asfahani, J.
Geology Department, Atomic Energy Commission, Damascus, Syria, csientific@aec.org.sy,
Pietruczuk, A.
Institute of Geophysics, Polish Academy of Sciences, Warszawa, Poland, januszj@igf.edu.pl,
Hattermann, F. F.
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Potsdam, Germany, hattermann@pik-potsdam.de,
Abstract : Since several destructive floods have occurred in Germany in the last decades, it is of considerable interest and relevance (e.g., when undertaking flood defense design) to take a closer look at the climatic factors driving the changes in flood hazard in Germany. Even if there also exist non-climatic factors controlling the flood hazard, the present paper demonstrates that climate change is one main driver responsible for the increasing number of floods. Increasing trends in temperature have been found to be ubiquitous in Germany, with impact on air humidity and changes in (intense) precipitation. Growing trends in flood pronecirculation pattern and heavy precipitation are significant in many regions of Germany over a multi-decade interval and this can be translated into the rise of flood hazard and flood risk.

Keywords : flooding, intense precipitation, humidity, climate change,
Publishing house : Instytut Geofizyki PAN
Publication date : 2013
Number : Vol. 61, no. 2
Page : 463 – 477

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DOI :
Qute : Vitkulin, A. V. ,Semenov, V. Y. ,Majewski, E. ,Nenovski, P. ,Sayil, N. ,Nguyen, N. T. ,Neska, A. ,Tokarczyk, T. ,Asfahani, J. ,Pietruczuk, A. ,Hattermann, F. F. ,Hattermann, F. F. , Climatological drivers of changes in flood hazard in Germany. Acta Geophysica Vol. 61, no. 2/2013
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